What will Mamdani say during NYT DealBook Summit?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Afford / Affordable / Affordability (83.0%), Trump / President (73.0%), Home / Housing (71.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Afford / Affordable / Affordability83.0%83.0¢17.0¢
Trump / President73.0%73.0¢27.0¢
Home / Housing71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Safe / Safer / Safety71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Socialist / Socialism59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
AI / Artificial Intelligence58.0%58.0¢42.0¢
Tax56.0%56.0¢44.0¢
Childcare / Child Care51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
ICE48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Midterm / Election46.0%46.0¢54.0¢
NYPD46.0%46.0¢54.0¢
Wall Street42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
Budget / Deficit41.0%41.0¢59.0¢
Grocery35.0%35.0¢65.0¢
Landlord / Tenant33.0%33.0¢67.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Afford / Affordable / Affordability:

If Zohran Mamdani says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 using the original broadcast, stream, or official video release by The New York Times. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prev…

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.