Kansas wheat production this year
As of Mon, 21 Sep 2026 22:28:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 175 million bushels (96.0%), Above 180 million bushels (93.0%), Above 185 million bushels (74.0%). The market has $37K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 175 million bushels | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 180 million bushels | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Above 185 million bushels | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Above 190 million bushels | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Above 195 million bushels | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Above 205 million bushels | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 200 million bushels | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 210 million bushels | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $37K
- Liquidity: $37K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 175 million bushels:
If USDA NASS reports that Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 is above 175 million bushels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the USDA NASS’s Kansas Winter Wheat - Production estimate for the 2026 crop, measured in bushels.
Sources
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