Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 175,000 (99.0%), At least 125000 (98.0%), At least 130000 (98.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 175,000 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 125000 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 130000 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 135000 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 185,000 | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| At least 180,000 | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| At least 195,000 | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| At least 190,000 | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| At least 140000 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| At least 215,000 | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| At least 200,000 | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| At least 205,000 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| At least 155000 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| At least 150000 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 160000 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 175,000:
If there are at least 175,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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