Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 26, 2026
As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 22:26:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 180,000 (100.0%), At least 175,000 (100.0%), At least 185,000 (97.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 180,000 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 175,000 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 185,000 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 190,000 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 195,000 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| At least 200,000 | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| At least 205,000 | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| At least 210,000 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 215,000 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| At least 220,000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 225,000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 180,000:
If there are at least 180,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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