Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026
As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 01:25:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 180,000 (96.0%), At least 175,000 (95.0%), At least 170,000 (95.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Thu, 05 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 180,000 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 175,000 | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 170,000 | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 185,000 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 190,000 | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| At least 195,000 | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| At least 200,000 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| At least 205,000 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 210,000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 215,000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 220,000 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 180,000:
If there are at least 180,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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