Will Iran become a democracy this year?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:29:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (2.0%). The market has $323K in volume and closes on Sun, 30 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $323K
- Liquidity: $323K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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