How low will the S&P get this year?

As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 02:01:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price 6,300 or below (10.6%), 6,200 or below (7.0%), 6,000 or below (5.0%). The market has $1.1M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
6,300 or below10.6%10.6¢89.4¢
6,200 or below7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
6,000 or below5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
6,100 or below5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
5,900 or below2.7%2.7¢97.3¢

Market details

Sources

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