Ohio Governor: margin of victory
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 09:09:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price Amy Acton, 4-6% (16.0%), Amy Acton, 0-2% (14.0%), Amy Acton, 2-4% (13.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Acton, 4-6% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Amy Acton, 0-2% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Amy Acton, 2-4% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Amy Acton, 6-8% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy, 2-4% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Amy Acton, 8-10% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy, 0-2% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Amy Acton, 12-14% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Amy Acton, 10-12% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Amy Acton, 14-16% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy, 4-6% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy, ≥6% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Amy Acton, ≥16% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $14K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Amy Acton, 4-6%:
If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Sources
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