Japan Nominal GDP in 2026
As of Wed, 02 Sep 2026 13:56:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $4.0 trillion (95.0%), Above $4.1 trillion (87.0%), Above $4.2 trillion (69.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4.0 trillion | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above $4.1 trillion | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Above $4.2 trillion | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Above $4.3 trillion | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Above $4.4 trillion | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Above $4.5 trillion | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Above $4.6 trillion | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above $4.8 trillion | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above $4.9 trillion | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above $5.3 trillion | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above $5.2 trillion | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above $5.0 trillion | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above $5.1 trillion | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above $5.4 trillion | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above $4.7 trillion | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $4.0 trillion:
If Japan Nominal GDP is above $4.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. 9/25/26 clarification: This market resolves using the World Bank’s first non-preliminary release of Japan Nominal GDP for calendar year 2026, expressed in current US dollars. Trading Economics is a backup source for the same figure. Forecasts and subsequent revisions are excluded; no separate currency conversion is performed.
Sources
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