France Nominal GDP in 2026

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $3.2 trillion (96.0%), Above $3.3 trillion (94.0%), Above $3.4 trillion (85.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $3.2 trillion96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above $3.3 trillion94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Above $3.4 trillion85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
Above $3.5 trillion69.0%69.0¢31.0¢
Above $3.6 trillion48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Above $3.7 trillion32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Above $3.8 trillion20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Above $3.9 trillion8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above $4.5 trillion5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above $4.4 trillion5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above $4.0 trillion5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above $4.1 trillion4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above $4.3 trillion4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above $4.2 trillion4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $3.2 trillion:

If France Nominal GDP is above $3.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. 9/25/26 clarification: This market resolves using the World Bank’s first non-preliminary release of France Nominal GDP for calendar year 2026, expressed in current US dollars. Trading Economics is a backup source for the same figure. Forecasts and subsequent revisions are excluded; no separate currency conversion is performed.

Sources

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