Visitors to Florida this year

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 13:51:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 136 million (98.0%), Above 138 million (96.0%), Above 140 million (82.0%). The market has $283K in volume and closes on Fri, 05 Mar 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 136 million98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 138 million96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 140 million82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Above 142 million41.0%41.0¢59.0¢
Above 144 million7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above 146 million3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 148 million2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 136 million:

If VISIT FLORIDA reports that the number of visitors to Florida in calendar year 2026 is above 136 million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips. The total includes domestic, Canadian, and overseas visitors and excludes Florida residents. It does not use visitor days, hotel stays, airport passengers, or tourism spending. Resolution uses the first official publication containing the complete calendar-year 2026 estimate; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

Sources

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