What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Good Day (95.0%), Central Bank (94.0%), AI / Artificial Intelligence (82.0%). The market has $73K in volume and closes on Thu, 12 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good Day | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Central Bank | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Productivity | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Restrictive | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Shock | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Uncertainty | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Balance Sheet | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Independent / Independence | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| Inflation Expectation | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| Anchor / Anchored | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Oil | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Geopolitical | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| Credit | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| President | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $73K
- Liquidity: $73K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Good Day:
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Good Day at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used. Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.
Sources
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