US gasoline inventories at the end of November
As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 17:21:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below 205 million barrels (85.0%), Below 215 million barrels (63.0%), Below 200 million barrels (55.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Fri, 05 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 205 million barrels | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Below 215 million barrels | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Below 200 million barrels | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Below 210 million barrels | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| Below 195 million barrels | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below 205 million barrels:
If U.S. total gasoline inventories at the end of November 2026 are below 205 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Ending Stocks of Total Gasoline” series (MGTSTUS1) for the end of November 2026. This measures month-end inventories. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded.
Sources
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