How high will US diesel prices get this year?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $6.60 (72.0%), Above $6.80 (56.0%), Above $7.00 (37.0%). The market has $130K in volume and closes on Thu, 07 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $6.60 | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Above $6.80 | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Above $7.00 | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Above $7.20 | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Above $7.40 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Above $7.60 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above $7.80 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Above $8.00 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Above $8.40 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above $8.20 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above $8.60 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above $8.80 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above $9.00 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $130K
- Liquidity: $130K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $6.60:
If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is above $6.60, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes. This is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.
Sources
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