How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get this year?

As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 17:20:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 91,500 MW (5.0%), Above 92,000 MW (4.0%), Above 92,500 MW (4.0%). The market has $684K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 91,500 MW5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 92,000 MW4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above 92,500 MW4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above 94,000 MW3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 93,000 MW3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 96,000 MW3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 98,000 MW2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Sources

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