Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY this year?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:30:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (18.0%). The market has $46K in volume and closes on Fri, 07 May 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes18.0%18.0¢82.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If Connecticut’s annual average employment in Insurance Carriers and Related Activities for 2026 is above 54,600 employees, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the annual average of not-seasonally-adjusted all-employee payroll employment in Connecticut for Insurance Carriers and Related Activities (NAICS 524). BLS reports the series in thousands of employees; for example, 54.6 thousand is treated as 54,600 employees. The category includes insurance carriers as well as agencies, brokerages, and other insurance-related activities, so it should not be interpreted as insurance carriers alone. Resolution uses the first BLS-published 54,600 employees annual-average value; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. The underlying BLS series ID is SMU09000005552400001.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.