US credit rating downgrade this year?

As of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 00:01:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (7.0%). The market has $79K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes7.0%7.0¢93.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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