Will Reddit renew data licensing with Google?
As of Fri, 28 Aug 2026 04:31:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (55.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Reddit, Inc. ("Reddit") or Google LLC or Alphabet Inc. ("Google") officially announces a renewal of their existing agreement before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "Renew" means any of the following, regardless of the specific label used by the parties or the press: A formal extension, renewal, or amendment of the Existing Agreement's term. A new or successor agreement between Reddit and Google covering data licensing for AI training, AI search, or related uses of Reddit content, executed to succeed or continue the Existing Agreement's commercial relationship, whether or not its financial terms differ from the Existing Agreement. Public confirmation (by either party) that the Existing Agreement's licensing relationship is continuing on a going-forward basis past its original term, even absent a newly executed document. The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business en…
Sources
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