Poland rate decision in November
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintain current rate (77.0%), Hike 1-25bps (21.0%), Cut 1-25bps (3.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $16K
- Liquidity: $16K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Maintain current rate:
If the Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Sources
Related markets
- Bank of Canada decision this month?
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.