Bank of Israel rate decision in October
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 04:07:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintain current rate (98.0%), Cut 1-25bps (4.0%), Hike 1-25bps (1.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Maintain current rate:
If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Sources
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