European Central Bank rate decision in October

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:13:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintain current rate (96.0%), Hike 1-25bps (4.0%), Hike more than 25bps (1.0%). The market has $57K in volume and closes on Thu, 29 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Maintain current rate96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Hike 1-25bps4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Hike more than 25bps1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Cut more than 25bps1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Cut 1-25bps1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Sources

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