Alaska commercial salmon harvest this year?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 75 million (97.0%), At least 80 million (96.0%), At least 85 million (94.0%). The market has $38K in volume and closes on Thu, 14 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 75 million97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 80 million96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
At least 85 million94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 90 million38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
At least 100 million15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
At least 95 million15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
At least 105 million12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
At least 110 million9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
At least 115 million7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 120 million6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 125 million5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 130 million5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 150 million4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 145 million3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 135 million3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 75 million:

If Alaska's statewide commercial harvest of all salmon for the 2026 season is at least 75 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.