How low will US gas prices get in September?

As of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 04:33:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below $3.80 (1.0%), Below $3.90 (1.0%), Below $3.60 (1.0%). The market has $69K in volume and closes on Fri, 02 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Below $3.801.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Below $3.901.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Below $3.601.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Below $3.951.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Below $3.751.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Below $3.851.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Below $3.651.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Below $3.701.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Below $4.001.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below $3.80:

If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is lower than $3.80 at any time from Issuance through Sep 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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