How high will gas prices in New York get this year?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:42:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $4.80 (57.0%), Above $5.00 (26.0%), Above $5.80 (14.0%). The market has $98K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $4.8057.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Above $5.0026.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Above $5.8014.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Above $5.2013.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above $5.4013.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above $5.6010.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Above $6.006.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above $6.204.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $4.80:

If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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