How high will US gas prices get this month?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:26:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $4.45 (5.0%), Above $4.50 (5.0%), Above $4.70 (3.0%). The market has $58K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $4.455.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above $4.505.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above $4.703.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above $4.603.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above $4.752.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $4.802.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $4.552.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $4.852.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $4.652.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $4.902.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $4.952.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $5.002.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $4.45:

If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.45 at any time from October 1, 2026 through October 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

Related markets

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