Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:33:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price Ron DeSantis (90.6%), Ted Cruz (90.0%), J.D. Vance (75.0%). The market has $621K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ron DeSantis | 90.6% | 90.6¢ | 9.4¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| J.D. Vance | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Tom Cotton | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Rand Paul | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| John McEntee | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Doug Burgum | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| Brian Kemp | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Chris Christie | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Tim Scott | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Joe Kent | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Ivanka Trump | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $621K
- Liquidity: $621K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Ron DeSantis:
If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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