US 10Y Treasury yield at 8:00am ET?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:05:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 5.01% (99.0%), Above 5.02% (99.0%), Above 5.05% (99.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.01% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 5.02% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 5.05% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 5.03% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 5.04% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 5.18% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 5.09% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above 5.08% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 5.10% | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Above 5.11% | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Above 5.12% | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Above 5.13% | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above 5.14% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Above 5.15% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Above 5.17% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 5.01%:
If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.01% at Oct 20, 2026 at 8:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Sources
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