How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by on Oct 16, 2026?

As of Fri, 16 Oct 2026 19:58:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.3% or above (62.0%), 5.27% or above (62.0%), 5.28% or above (62.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Fri, 16 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5.3% or above62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
5.27% or above62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
5.28% or above62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
5.34% or above61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
5.29% or above61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
5.44% or above60.0%60.0¢40.0¢
5.41% or above59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
5.35% or above57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
5.42% or above55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
5.37% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
5.31% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
5.39% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
5.43% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
5.45% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
5.32% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢

Market details

Sources

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