7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?

As of Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:37:15 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.76% or above (100.0%), 4.78% or above (100.0%), 4.8% or above (100.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Thu, 24 Sep 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
4.76% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.78% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.8% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.84% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.86% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.88% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.92% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.94% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.96% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.82% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.9% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.98% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.02% or above96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
5.04% or above95.0%95.0¢5.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.76% or above:

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 24, 2026, or one week following Sep 24, 2026.

Sources

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