7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 9, 2026?
As of Fri, 09 Oct 2026 19:51:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.96% or above (100.0%), 4.98% or above (100.0%), 5.04% or above (100.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Fri, 09 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.96% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.08% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| 5.16% or above | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| 5.2% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.18% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.22% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.24% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.96% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 9, 2026, or one week following Oct 9, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by end of month?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 29, 2026 at 12pm EDT?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.