7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?

As of Tue, 13 Oct 2026 20:02:27 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.01% or above (100.0%), 5.05% or above (99.0%), 5.03% or above (99.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 13 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5.01% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.05% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.03% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.07% or above98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
5.09% or above93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
5.11% or above80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
5.13% or above49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
5.15% or above12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
5.17% or above8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
5.19% or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
5.21% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
5.25% or above1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
5.27% or above1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
5.29% or above1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
5.23% or above1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.01% or above:

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 13, 2026, or one week following Oct 13, 2026.

Sources

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