5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 19:56:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.36% or above (100.0%), 4.46% or above (100.0%), 4.44% or above (100.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.36% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.46% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.44% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.64% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.48% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.52% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.4% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.38% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.36% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.35% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 30, 2026, or one week following Sep 30, 2026.
Sources
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