5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 19:56:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.97% or above (100.0%), 4.95% or above (100.0%), 4.99% or above (100.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.97% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.01% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.05% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.03% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.93% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 5.07% or above | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| 5.11% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 5.09% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 5.13% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.15% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.17% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.19% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $8K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.91% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 30, 2026, or one week following Sep 30, 2026.
Sources
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