5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
As of Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:37:15 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.73% or above (100.0%), 4.75% or above (100.0%), 4.77% or above (100.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Thu, 24 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.73% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.79% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.81% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.83% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.93% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.71% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.97% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $8K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.85% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 24, 2026, or one week following Sep 24, 2026.
Sources
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