5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.76% or above (83.0%), 4.78% or above (81.0%), 4.8% or above (79.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.76% or above | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.76% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by end of month?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 29, 2026 at 12pm EDT?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.