5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?
As of Tue, 13 Oct 2026 20:02:27 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.88% or above (100.0%), 4.86% or above (100.0%), 4.92% or above (99.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 13 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.88% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 5.08% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.88% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 13, 2026, or one week following Oct 13, 2026.
Sources
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