30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 25, 2026?
As of Fri, 25 Sep 2026 20:42:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.2% or above (100.0%), 5.16% or above (100.0%), 5.32% or above (100.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Fri, 25 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.2% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.16% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.32% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.36% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.18% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.26% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.24% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.28% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.22% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.3% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.4% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 5.34% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 5.42% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 5.44% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 5.38% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.56% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.55% on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 25, 2026, or one week following Sep 25, 2026.
Sources
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