30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?

As of Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:37:15 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.16% or above (100.0%), 5.18% or above (100.0%), 5.2% or above (100.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Thu, 24 Sep 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5.16% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.18% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.2% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.22% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.24% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.26% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.36% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.28% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.3% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.32% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.38% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.34% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.4% or above98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
5.42% or above93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
5.44% or above63.0%63.0¢37.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.44% or above:

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.43% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 24, 2026, or one week following Sep 24, 2026.

Sources

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