30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026?

As of Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:13:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.51% or above (100.0%), 5.55% or above (100.0%), 5.53% or above (100.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5.51% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.55% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.53% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.57% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.63% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.59% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.61% or above98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
5.65% or above96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
5.67% or above85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
5.69% or above63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
5.71% or above30.0%30.0¢70.0¢
5.73% or above7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
5.75% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
5.79% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
5.77% or above1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.63% or above:

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.62% on Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 7, 2026, or one week following Oct 7, 2026.

Sources

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