30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:24:36 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.37% or above (99.0%), 5.31% or above (97.0%), 5.33% or above (95.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.37% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.31% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 5.33% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 5.35% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 5.39% or above | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 5.41% or above | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| 5.43% or above | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| 5.45% or above | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| 5.47% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 5.49% or above | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 5.51% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 5.53% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 5.55% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 5.57% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 5.59% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.39% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.
Sources
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