30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
As of Fri, 16 Oct 2026 19:58:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.48% or above (64.0%), 5.46% or above (64.0%), 5.7% or above (50.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 16 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.48% or above | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 5.46% or above | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 5.7% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 5.72% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 5.74% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 5.68% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 5.62% or above | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| 5.64% or above | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| 5.54% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 5.56% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 5.66% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 5.58% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 5.52% or above | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| 5.5% or above | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 5.6% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.62% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.61% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.
Sources
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