30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?
As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:27:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.46% or above (99.0%), 5.48% or above (93.0%), 5.5% or above (88.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Wed, 14 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.46% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.48% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 5.5% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 5.52% or above | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| 5.54% or above | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| 5.56% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 5.58% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.6% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.62% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.64% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.66% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.68% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.7% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.72% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.74% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.46% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.45% on Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 14, 2026, or one week following Oct 14, 2026.
Sources
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