30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?
As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 18:35:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.48% or above (94.0%), 5.5% or above (94.0%), 5.46% or above (94.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.48% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 5.5% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 5.46% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 5.56% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 5.58% or above | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| 5.6% or above | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| 5.52% or above | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| 5.54% or above | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| 5.68% or above | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| 5.72% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 5.62% or above | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| 5.64% or above | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 5.7% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 5.74% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 5.66% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.6% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.59% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 1, 2026, or one week following Oct 1, 2026.
Sources
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