2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 19:56:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.76% or above (99.0%), 4.82% or above (98.0%), 4.78% or above (97.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.76% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.78% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 30, 2026, or one week following Sep 30, 2026.
Sources
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