2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026?
As of Tue, 29 Sep 2026 19:21:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.66% or above (99.0%), 4.82% or above (93.0%), 4.78% or above (88.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Tue, 29 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.66% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.82% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 29, 2026, or one week following Sep 29, 2026.
Sources
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