2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026?
As of Thu, 08 Oct 2026 20:01:19 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.7% or above (64.0%), 4.76% or above (63.0%), 4.68% or above (62.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.7% or above | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.92% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 8, 2026, or one week following Oct 8, 2026.
Sources
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