2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:20:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.67% or above (99.0%), 4.69% or above (94.0%), 4.61% or above (88.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.67% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.69% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 4.61% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.71% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.63% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.73% or above | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| 4.65% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 4.79% or above | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| 4.81% or above | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| 4.83% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.61% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.
Sources
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