James Bond · Release Date

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2029 (66.0%), Before Jul 1, 2028 (46.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (22.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Before Jan 1, 2029	66.0%	66.0¢	34.0¢
Before Jul 1, 2028	46.0%	46.0¢	54.0¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	22.0%	22.0¢	78.0¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	10.0%	10.0¢	90.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $8K
Liquidity: $8K
Closes: Tue, 01 Jan 2030

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2029:

If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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