When will Bitcoin cross $130k?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price By Jul 8, 2027 (24.0%), By Jun 10, 2027 (20.0%), By May 13, 2027 (16.0%). The market has $64K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| By Jul 8, 2027 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| By Jun 10, 2027 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| By May 13, 2027 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| By Apr 15, 2027 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| By Mar 18, 2027 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| By Feb 18, 2027 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| By Jan 21, 2027 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| By Dec 24, 2026 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| By Oct 29, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| By Nov 26, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| By Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $64K
- Liquidity: $64K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for By Jul 8, 2027:
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Jul 8, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
Sources
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