US new home · Sales in October
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:18:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 600,000 (75.0%), Above 620,000 (63.0%), Above 640,000 (45.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 600,000 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Above 620,000 | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Above 640,000 | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Above 660,000 | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Above 680,000 | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Above 700,000 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Above 720,000 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Above 740,000 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 600,000:
If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for October 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 600,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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